Springfield, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

228
FXUS63 KSGF 292319
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
619 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat Advisory in effect through Friday as daily heat indices
  climb to around 100 degrees. Little nighttime relief with lows
  in the middle to upper 70s. These conditions may linger
  through the Independence Day weekend, so those with outdoor
  plans to celebrate the holiday should make efforts to have
  cooling and hydration options readily available.

- Isolated convection will be possible each afternoon/evening
  starting Thursday. Currently, coverage/probability is 15-30%.
  There is potential for localized pulse-severe storms with
  microburst winds and large hail, but confidence is low at this
  time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 854 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Today/Tonight:
 - Impacts: Heat hazards.
 - Details: High temps in the low to mid 90s with heat index
   values around 100. Other details can be found in the DSS
   Packet.
 - Confidence: High.
 - Meteorological Analysis: High pressure southeast of the area
   and low pressure well northwest will continue to result in
   warm, moist air pushing into the region. Strong capping, as
   seen in model sounding plots and the morning and previous
   evening radiosondes, will prevent any convection from
   developing.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 854 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Heat wave through at least Friday, possible through the weekend:
 - Impacts: Heat hazards.
 - Details: High temps in the low to mid 90s with heat index
   values around 100 through the work week and possibly through
   the upcoming weekend. Other details can be found in the DSS
   Packet.
 - Confidence: High through Friday. Medium confidence in heat
   hazards extending through the upcoming weekend.
 - Meteorological Analysis: High pressure southeast of the area
   and low pressure well northwest will continue to result in
   warm, moist air pushing into the region. Models diverge on
   the large scale pattern this coming weekend, decreasing
   confidence. It is possible that heat impacts linger into
   early next week.

Isolated convection possible starting Thursday, possibly
strong/severe:
 - Impacts: Localized general thunderstorms hazards. Potentially
   localized strong/severe storm threats.
 - Details: 15-30% chances/coverage of pulse storms during peak
   heating each afternoon/evening starting Thursday. Greater
   details associated with best location and threats (including
   some potential for strong/severe storms) will become more
   clear in the coming days.
 - Confidence: Medium in seeing at least some storms. Low in
   strength, coverage, and placement.
 - Meteorological Analysis: Through friday, the pattern doesn`t
   change much, but greater moisture and a weakened cap is
   expected to materialize. At this time, that looks to lead to
   15-30% coverage/probability for diurnal isolated convection
   starting Thursday. Depending on how much instability can
   result, pulse-severe storms will be possible, but confidence
   in that detail is low. This weekend may see a disruption to
   the pattern, but confidence is low in what will play out.
   There is potential that excessive heat will stick around
   through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 615 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

VFR through the TAF period. Southerly winds continue, with gusts
tapering off around 02-03Z and returning again between 12-14Z
through tomorrow afternoon. Overnight LLWS 35-45kts will be
strongest furthest west (KJLN) and will also dissipate after
12-14Z as the nocturnal LLJ fades. Only other forecast item of
note is that it is a little hazy in the upper levels due to
Saharan dust, and although it may not be affecting visibility at
the surface, it will be noticeable at higher levels of the
atmosphere.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Friday for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Friday for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Camden